Sunday, December 6, 2015

WEEK THIRTEEN NFL RESULTS

Below please find the 2015 week thirteen NFL predictions based on the model we built last year. This model uses a learning algorithm fed by data from the last twelve weeks. To date, success rates this season are as follows: Week 2, 50%; Week 3, 62.5%; Week 4, 60%; Week 5, 64%; Week 6, 57%; Week 7, 50%; Week 8, 71%; Week 9, 53.8%; Week 10, 42.7%; Week 11, 57.1%; Week 12, 56.2%, and this Week, 62.5%.

The % indicated after each game represents the crowd-sourced prediction from nfl.com as of this afternoon. The two digit decimal numbers following team names should be interpreted relative to each other for comparison to determine, in part, how close the game will be.

  • GB @ DET
    • GB (.53) over DET (.52) - Very Close Game
    • GB 27 over DET 23 - Prediction Correct
  • HOU @ BUF
    • HOU (.61) over BUF (.50)
    • BUF 30 over HOU 21 - Prediction Incorrect
    • Crowd Correct @ 52% 
  • SF @ CHI
    • CHI (.50) over SF (.36)
    • SF 26 over CHI 20 - Prediction Incorrect
    • Crowd Incorrect @ 92%
  • CIN @ CLE
    • CIN (.62) over CLE (.50)
    • CIN 27 over CLE 3 - Prediction Correct
    • Crowd Correct @ 98%
  • BAL @ MIA
    • BAL (.50) over MIA (.41)
    • MIA 15 over BAL 13 - Prediction Incorrect
    • Crowd Correct @ 71%
  • SEA @ MIN
    • SEA (.59) over MIN (.55) - Close Game
    • SEA 38 over MIN 7 - Prediction Correct
    • Crowd Incorrect @ 64%
  • NYJ @ NYG
    • NYJ (.54) over NYG (.49)
    • NYJ 23 over NYG 20 - Prediction Correct
    • Crowd Incorrect @ 57%
  • ARI @ STL
    • ARI (.58) over STL (.40)
    • ARI 27 over STL 3 - Prediction Correct
    • Crowd Correct @ 93%
  • ATL @ TB
    • TB (.48) over ATL (.47) - Very Close Game
    • TB 23 over ATL 19 - Prediction Correct
    • Crowd Incorrect @ 51%
  • JAX @ TEN
    • JAX (.47) over TEN (.41)
    • TEN 42 over JAX 39 - Prediction Incorrect
    • Crowd Incorrect @ 72%
  • KC @ OAK
    • KC (.63) over OAK (.47)
    • KC 34 over OAK 20 - Prediction Correct
    • Crowd Correct @ 66%
  • DEN @ SD
    • DEN (.53) over SD (.42)
    • DEN 17 over SD 3 - Prediction Correct
    • Crowd Correct @ 92%
  • PHI @ NE
    • NE (.59) over PHI (.41)
    • PHI 35 over NE 28 - Prediction Incorrect
    • Crowd Incorrect @ 95%
  • CAR @ NO
    • CAR (.65) over NO (.37)
    • CAR 41 over NO 38 - Prediction Correct
    • Crowd Correct @ 89%
  • IND @ PIT
    • PIT (.53) over IND (.53) - Very Close Game
    • PIT 45 over IND 10 - Prediction Correct
    • Crowd Agrees @ 81%
  • DAL @ WAS
    • WAS (.48) over DAL (.43)
    • DAL 19 over WAS 16 - Prediction Incorrect
    • Crowd Incorrect @ 81%

Games to watch: GB @ DET, SEA @ MIN, ATL @ TB, and IND @ PIT.

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