We have slightly altered the 2014 model in various ways to yield three sets of predictions. Model 1 (M1) is the procedure from last year and is based on normal averaging. So far, this has been the most accurate model. M2 is based on moving averages, and M3 is based on weighted percentages (thereby allowing games later in the season to count more than earlier games.)
Note that the model agreed with the crowd in 12 of the 14 games for an accuracy rating of 86% in predicting what the crowd would say.
So here goes - (The % indicated after each game represents the crowd-sourced prediction from nfl.com as of this afternoon. The two digit decimal numbers following team names should be interpreted relative to each other for comparison of the models and to determine, in part, how close the game will be.):
Games to watch: NYG @ PHI and CAR @ SEA first, and then KC @ MIN, HOU @ JAX, and CHI @ DET.