Thursday, September 17, 2015

WEEK TWO NFL PREDICTIONS

While our lab team is preparing a more sophisticated network model for NFL predictions than last year's model, I thought I would go ahead and make Week Two predictions using last year's method. 
Since this is based on a learning algorithm and we only have one week of data for the current season, there is no expectations that the predictions below will be correct. Last year's Week 2 predictions were only about 32% correct. Let's see if this year does any better using the same method.
So here goes - (The % indicated after each game represents the crowd-sourced prediction from nfl.com as of this afternoon):
  • DEN over KC (but just barely) - 42% agreement
  • CAR over HOU - 68% agreement
  • SF over PIT - 26% agreement
  • NO over TB - 95% agreement
  • DET over MN - 69% agreement 
  • ARI over CHI - 82% agreement 
  • BUF over NE (but counterintuitive) - 38% agreement 
  • CIN over SD - 60% agreement
  • TEN over CLE - 83% agreement
  • ATL over NYG - 54% agreement
  • STL over WAS - 92% agreement
  • MIA over JAX - 95% agreement
  • BAL over OAK - 92% agreement
  • DAL over PHI (but just barely) - 42% agreement
  • GB over SEA (but close) - 77% agreement
  • NYJ over IN - 17% agreement
Games to Watch: DEN @ KC, DAL @ PHI and SEA @ GB.

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