WEEK THREE NFL PREDICTIONS

Below please find the 2015 week three NFL predictions based on the model we built last year. This model uses a learning algorithm fed by data from just the last two weeks. So, there no expectation of great success just yet. Last week, the model was 50% correct. Let's see if this week can surpass that.

So here goes - (The % indicated after each game represents the crowd-sourced prediction from nfl.com as of this afternoon):

• WAS over NYG - 26% agreement
• DAL over ATL - 27% agreement
• TEN over IN - 26% agreement
• CLE over OAK - 57% agreement
• CIN over BAL - 62% agreement
• NE over JAX - 98% agreement
• CAR over NO - 84% agreement
• NYJ over PHI - 71% agreement
• HOU over TB (but barely) - 68% agreement
• SD over MIN - 49% agreement
• PIT over STL - 82% agreement
• ARI over SF - 89% agreement
• BUF over MIA (but barely) - 68% agreement
• SEA over CHI - 96% agreement
• DEN over DET - 87% agreement
• GB over KC - 90% agreement

Games to watch: TB @ HOU and BUF @ MIA.

My own intuitions disagree with the IN @ TEN game, not merely because I am a Colts fan. Even though the numbers don't suggest so, I would personally expect to see a good game in KC @ GB.