Thursday, September 17, 2015


It is of course premature to draw any conclusions about the viability of a model based on one instance, but in a rather remarkable play within the last 36 seconds of the game, the Broncos pulled out one touchdown over the Chiefs to end the game with a 31 to 24 win. The prediction was:
  • DEN over KC (but just barely) - 42% agreement
In this case, the model was correct, and the NFL crowd-sourced prediction at 42% agreement was incorrect.

Again, this doesn't mean much, but the game was indeed well worth watching. Click here to watch the final scoring play.

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